Cisa: iron ore prices will be a substantial downward fluctuation in later

• 来源：骏楠官网
• 作者：骏楠管理员
• 日期： 2017-02-09

      January, steel and iron ore prices continue to rise slightly before the Spring Festival, but the increase narrowed. Later, the market oversupply situation, the price of iron ore is difficult to maintain the current level will show a downward trend of fluctuations.
Steel costs change little. In January, the steel industry purchase price index continued last month decline, but the decline is limited, down 2 percentage points to 58.9%. This index has been 11 consecutive months in more than 50% of the expansion range, indicating that the cost of steel remains high. Raw material price differentiation, billet, iron ore prices rose, coking coal, coke prices continued to fall. 62% grade Platts iron ore index is currently $83.25 per ton, up $3.6 a month on month basis. The average number of days in the domestic steel mills can be used up to 35 days, the highest level of the year after the Spring Festival in 2014, the stock of ore, and in 2015 and 2016 for two consecutive years before the shortage of steel ore replenishment. At the same time, the current iron ore delivery pressure has not eased, the domestic main port iron ore inventory has been close to the level of 1.2 tons, a record high.        
     Analysis of iron ore price trend:
     Affected by the weather and the Spring Festival holiday, the steel market demand, but imports of iron ore port stocks and were a record high, the market is still showing oversupply situation, the late iron ore price fluctuations will show a downward trend.
    1, relatively stable steel production, iron ore demand is difficult to have a big growth
    2, the deposit of iron ore deposit re innovation, oversupply contradiction is more prominent
    3, low level of profitability steel prices, iron ore prices are still downside
    According to Steel Association statistics, in 2016, members of iron and steel enterprises after breakeven profit 30 billion 378 million yuan, although profitable, but the sales profit rate of only 1.08%, the steel enterprise profit level is still low. This year, the supply side structural reforms will continue to advance, to further carry out the work of iron and steel, iron ore oversupply is still obvious contradiction, iron ore prices are still downside.